{"id":14546,"date":"2023-06-11T10:41:01","date_gmt":"2023-06-11T08:41:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/?p=14546"},"modified":"2023-06-11T10:41:01","modified_gmt":"2023-06-11T08:41:01","slug":"leconomie-belge-croitre-de-04-second-trimestre-de-2023","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/leconomie-belge-croitre-de-04-second-trimestre-de-2023\/","title":{"rendered":"L&rsquo;\u00e9conomie belge devrait cro\u00eetre de 0,4 % au second trimestre de 2023."},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"field field-name-field-page-intro field-type-text-long field-label-hidden\">\n<div class=\"field-items\">\n<div class=\"field-item even first\">\n<p>L&rsquo;activit\u00e9 \u00e9conomique belge est rest\u00e9 r\u00e9siliente au premier trimestre de 2023. Selon les derni\u00e8res statistiques de l\u2019ICN, le PIB a augment\u00e9 de 0,5\u00a0%, soit un peu mieux que ce que pr\u00e9voyait le Business Cycle Monitor de mars 2023. D\u2019apr\u00e8s notre appr\u00e9ciation actuelle, la croissance devrait rester soutenue\u00a0: une progression trimestrielle de 0,4\u00a0% semble actuellement l\u2019estimation la plus plausible.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<div class=\"field-collection-container clearfix\">\n<div class=\"field field-name-field-paragraphs field-type-field-collection field-label-hidden\">\n<div class=\"field-items\">\n<div class=\"field-item even first\">\n<div class=\"field-collection-view clearfix view-mode-full field-collection-view-final\">\n<div class=\"entity entity-field-collection-item field-collection-item-field-paragraphs clearfix\">\n<div class=\"content\">\n<div class=\"field field-name-field-paragraph-text field-type-text-long field-label-hidden\">\n<p>Le PIB r\u00e9el de la Belgique a augment\u00e9 de 0,5\u00a0% au premier trimestre de 2023. Cela repr\u00e9sente une nette am\u00e9lioration par rapport \u00e0 la quasi-stagnation du quatri\u00e8me trimestre de 2022 et d\u00e9passe m\u00eame l\u00e9g\u00e8rement l\u2019estimation de 0,4% du Business Cycle Monitor de mars 2023 et l\u2019estimation flash publi\u00e9e en avril par l\u2019ICN.<\/p>\n<p>La croissance du PIB au premier trimestre a continu\u00e9 d\u2019\u00eatre soutenue par la forte expansion de la consommation priv\u00e9e et de l\u2019industrie des services. La consommation des m\u00e9nages devrait continuer \u00e0 cro\u00eetre \u00e0 un rythme globalement stable au deuxi\u00e8me trimestre de 2023, notamment \u00e0 cause d\u2019un vif rebond du pouvoir d\u2019achat cette ann\u00e9e.<\/p>\n<p>En volume, la progression de l&rsquo;investissement des entreprises a surpris \u00e0 la hausse au premier trimestre. Dans l&rsquo;ensemble, nous pr\u00e9voyons que celle-ci diminuera sensiblement, mais restera positive au deuxi\u00e8me trimestre. Ce ralentissement refl\u00e8te en partie la disparition d&rsquo;achats sp\u00e9cifiques qui avaient stimul\u00e9 l&rsquo;investissement au cours du trimestre pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent. L&rsquo;investissement r\u00e9sidentiel devrait, quant \u00e0 lui, se replier \u00e0 nouveau au deuxi\u00e8me trimestre.<\/p>\n<p>La consommation publique devrait retrouver une croissance positive au deuxi\u00e8me trimestre, tandis que la mise en \u0153uvre des plans d&rsquo;investissement et le cycle \u00e9lectoral habituel devraient maintenir la croissance de l&rsquo;investissement public \u00e0 un niveau \u00e9lev\u00e9. Pour sa part, la contribution des exportations nettes \u00e0 la croissance deviendrait l\u00e9g\u00e8rement n\u00e9gative au cours du deuxi\u00e8me trimestre.<\/p>\n<p>Le mod\u00e8le de pr\u00e9vision imm\u00e9diate \u00ab\u00a0BREL\u00a0\u00bb de la BNB pr\u00e9voit actuellement une croissance trimestrielle d\u2019environ 0,45\u00a0% au deuxi\u00e8me trimestre de 2023, tandis que le mod\u00e8le \u00ab\u00a0R2D2\u00a0\u00bb est nettement plus optimiste, avec une estimation de croissance de 0,85\u00a0%. Il convient toutefois de noter que les estimations fournies par ces mod\u00e8les de pr\u00e9vision imm\u00e9diate restent tr\u00e8s incertaines, car les chocs massifs survenus depuis le d\u00e9but de la crise du COVID-19 constituent un d\u00e9fi pour l&rsquo;estimation des mod\u00e8les de s\u00e9ries temporelles standards.<\/p>\n<p>Dans l&rsquo;ensemble, nous nous attendons actuellement \u00e0 une croissance de l\u2019activit\u00e9 de 0,4\u00a0% au deuxi\u00e8me trimestre de 2023. Ce chiffre est l\u00e9g\u00e8rement sup\u00e9rieur \u00e0 la m\u00e9diane estim\u00e9e des mod\u00e8les univari\u00e9s, et conforme \u00e0 l\u2019estimation la moins optimiste des deux mod\u00e8les de pr\u00e9vision imm\u00e9diate. La balance des risques semble plut\u00f4t neutre.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>Source: BNB &#8211; Business Cycle Monitor<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>L&rsquo;activit\u00e9 \u00e9conomique belge est rest\u00e9 r\u00e9siliente au premier trimestre de 2023. Selon les derni\u00e8res statistiques de l\u2019ICN, le PIB a augment\u00e9 de 0,5\u00a0%, soit un peu mieux que ce que pr\u00e9voyait le Business Cycle Monitor de mars 2023. D\u2019apr\u00e8s notre [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[65,10],"tags":[1412,804,152,148,811],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>L&#039;\u00e9conomie belge devrait cro\u00eetre de 0,4 % au second trimestre de 2023. - Peoplesphere<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/leconomie-belge-croitre-de-04-second-trimestre-de-2023\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"L&#039;\u00e9conomie belge devrait cro\u00eetre de 0,4 % au second trimestre de 2023. - Peoplesphere\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"L&rsquo;activit\u00e9 \u00e9conomique belge est rest\u00e9 r\u00e9siliente au premier trimestre de 2023. Selon les derni\u00e8res statistiques de l\u2019ICN, le PIB a augment\u00e9 de 0,5\u00a0%, soit un peu mieux que ce que pr\u00e9voyait le Business Cycle Monitor de mars 2023. D\u2019apr\u00e8s notre [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/leconomie-belge-croitre-de-04-second-trimestre-de-2023\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Peoplesphere\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/peoplesphere\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-06-11T08:41:01+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"http:\/\/www.peoplesphere.be\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/07\/facebook-default-posting-1200x628px.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Jean-Paul Erhard\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@PeoplesphereMag\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@PeoplesphereMag\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Jean-Paul Erhard\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/leconomie-belge-croitre-de-04-second-trimestre-de-2023\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/leconomie-belge-croitre-de-04-second-trimestre-de-2023\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Jean-Paul Erhard\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/#\/schema\/person\/7976225ff17988604334abb7b3536a7e\"},\"headline\":\"L&rsquo;\u00e9conomie belge devrait cro\u00eetre de 0,4 % au second trimestre de 2023.\",\"datePublished\":\"2023-06-11T08:41:01+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2023-06-11T08:41:01+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/leconomie-belge-croitre-de-04-second-trimestre-de-2023\/\"},\"wordCount\":471,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"BNB\",\"conjoncture\",\"croissance\",\"pouvoir d'achat\",\"pr\u00e9visions\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Actualit\u00e9s\",\"Digital\"],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/leconomie-belge-croitre-de-04-second-trimestre-de-2023\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/leconomie-belge-croitre-de-04-second-trimestre-de-2023\/\",\"name\":\"L'\u00e9conomie belge devrait cro\u00eetre de 0,4 % au second trimestre de 2023. - 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