{"id":15699,"date":"2024-02-16T08:28:28","date_gmt":"2024-02-16T06:28:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/?p=15699"},"modified":"2024-02-16T08:28:28","modified_gmt":"2024-02-16T06:28:28","slug":"perspectives-economiques-2024-2029-la-croissance-est-stable-mais-le-deficit-public-se-creuse","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/perspectives-economiques-2024-2029-la-croissance-est-stable-mais-le-deficit-public-se-creuse\/","title":{"rendered":"Perspectives \u00e9conomiques 2024-2029: la croissance est stable mais le d\u00e9ficit public se creuse."},"content":{"rendered":"<p>L\u2019\u00e9conomie belge devrait cro\u00eetre de 1,4% en 2024 et conna\u00eetre une progression comparable jusqu\u2019en 2029. L&#8217;emploi int\u00e9rieur augmenterait de 253.000 personnes sur l\u2019ensemble de la p\u00e9riode. Le taux d\u2019emploi grimperait ainsi \u00e0 74,3% en 2029. L&rsquo;inflation s\u2019\u00e9l\u00e8verait \u00e0 2,8% cette ann\u00e9e et passerait sous les 2% \u00e0 partir de 2025. Le d\u00e9ficit public est estim\u00e9 \u00e0 4,6% du PIB en 2024. \u00c0 politique constante, il augmenterait progressivement pour atteindre 5,6% en 2029.<!--more--><\/p>\n<p>La croissance du PIB belge est port\u00e9e, en 2023 comme en 2024, par la consommation des m\u00e9nages et les investissements des entreprises, alors que les exportations nettes et les investissements des m\u00e9nages en logements y contribuent n\u00e9gativement. La croissance du PIB a atteint 1,5% en 2023 et s\u2019\u00e9tablirait \u00e0 1,4% en 2024, soit des progressions remarquables au regard de celles de la zone euro (0,5% et 0,9%). Sur la p\u00e9riode 2025-2029, la croissance \u00e9conomique serait de 1,3% \u00e0 1,4% par an, soit un rythme l\u00e9g\u00e8rement inf\u00e9rieur \u00e0 la moyenne de la zone euro.<\/p>\n<h3><strong><em>La consommation priv\u00e9e est soutenue par l\u2019augmentation du revenu disponible<\/em><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>La consommation des m\u00e9nages augmente de 1,4% en 2023 et de 1,8% en 2024, mais pas autant que le pouvoir d\u2019achat, mesur\u00e9 sur base du revenu disponible r\u00e9el (3,6% et 2,1%). Les m\u00e9nages \u00e9pargnent donc une part plus importante de leurs revenus qu&rsquo;en 2022, o\u00f9 le taux d&rsquo;\u00e9pargne avait fortement diminu\u00e9 pour compenser la perte de pouvoir d&rsquo;achat. \u00c0 partir de 2025, leur consommation cro\u00eetrait un peu plus rapidement (1,5% par an en moyenne) que le pouvoir d\u2019achat (1,4%).<\/p>\n<h3><strong><em>Des cr\u00e9ations d\u2019emplois moins importantes que ces six derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es<\/em><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>Les cr\u00e9ations d\u2019emplois en 2023 (+41 000) ralentissent par rapport \u00e0 la progression importante de 2021-2022 (+198 000 sur ces deux ann\u00e9es). Elles restent limit\u00e9es en 2024 (+33 000). \u00c0 partir de 2025, les cr\u00e9ations d\u2019emplois devraient se redresser et atteindre, en moyenne, 44 000 par an. Le taux de ch\u00f4mage devrait l\u00e9g\u00e8rement remonter en 2024 et 2025, mais d\u00e9cro\u00eetre \u00e0 nouveau \u00e0 partir de 2027. Le taux d\u2019emploi devrait passer de 72,1% en 2023 \u00e0 74,3% en 2029.<\/p>\n<h3><strong><em>Poursuite du ralentissement de l\u2019inflation apr\u00e8s un rebond technique au premier semestre 2024<\/em><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>La hausse des prix \u00e0 la consommation a nettement ralenti durant le second semestre de l\u2019an dernier (jusqu\u2019\u00e0 0,4% en octobre 2023, \u00e0 un an d\u2019\u00e9cart). Cette \u00e9volution s\u2019explique, dans une large mesure, par la forte baisse des prix du gaz et de l\u2019\u00e9lectricit\u00e9. L\u2019inflation devrait n\u00e9anmoins \u00e0 nouveau d\u00e9passer les 3% durant les prochains mois. En effet, l\u2019impact des fortes baisses des prix de l\u2019\u00e9nergie s\u2019estompe progressivement, de m\u00eame que celui des mesures prises pour all\u00e9ger la facture \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique des m\u00e9nages. L&rsquo;inflation des prix \u00e0 la consommation devrait s&rsquo;\u00e9tablir, en moyenne, \u00e0 2,8% en 2024 et se stabiliser \u00e0 1,8% par an \u00e0 partir de 2025.<\/p>\n<h3><strong><em>Le d\u00e9ficit public se creuse<\/em><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>Le d\u00e9ficit public s\u2019\u00e9l\u00e8verait \u00e0 4,6% du PIB en 2023 et en 2024. En l\u2019absence de nouvelles mesures de consolidation budg\u00e9taire, il se creuserait ensuite progressivement pour atteindre 5,6% en 2029, en raison surtout de l&rsquo;augmentation des d\u00e9penses de pensions et de soins de sant\u00e9, et de l&rsquo;accroissement des int\u00e9r\u00eats de la dette. La dette publique passerait de 106% du PIB en 2024 \u00e0 117% en 2029.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>Source: Bureau F\u00e9d\u00e9ral du Plan<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>L\u2019\u00e9conomie belge devrait cro\u00eetre de 1,4% en 2024 et conna\u00eetre une progression comparable jusqu\u2019en 2029. L&#8217;emploi int\u00e9rieur augmenterait de 253.000 personnes sur l\u2019ensemble de la p\u00e9riode. Le taux d\u2019emploi grimperait ainsi \u00e0 74,3% en 2029. L&rsquo;inflation s\u2019\u00e9l\u00e8verait \u00e0 2,8% cette [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[65,10],"tags":[1707,1660,2511],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Perspectives \u00e9conomiques 2024-2029: la croissance est stable mais le d\u00e9ficit public se creuse. - Peoplesphere<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/perspectives-economiques-2024-2029-la-croissance-est-stable-mais-le-deficit-public-se-creuse\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Perspectives \u00e9conomiques 2024-2029: la croissance est stable mais le d\u00e9ficit public se creuse. - Peoplesphere\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"L\u2019\u00e9conomie belge devrait cro\u00eetre de 1,4% en 2024 et conna\u00eetre une progression comparable jusqu\u2019en 2029. L&#8217;emploi int\u00e9rieur augmenterait de 253.000 personnes sur l\u2019ensemble de la p\u00e9riode. Le taux d\u2019emploi grimperait ainsi \u00e0 74,3% en 2029. L&rsquo;inflation s\u2019\u00e9l\u00e8verait \u00e0 2,8% cette [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/perspectives-economiques-2024-2029-la-croissance-est-stable-mais-le-deficit-public-se-creuse\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Peoplesphere\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/peoplesphere\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-02-16T06:28:28+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"http:\/\/www.peoplesphere.be\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/07\/facebook-default-posting-1200x628px.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Jean-Paul Erhard\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@PeoplesphereMag\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@PeoplesphereMag\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Jean-Paul Erhard\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/perspectives-economiques-2024-2029-la-croissance-est-stable-mais-le-deficit-public-se-creuse\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/perspectives-economiques-2024-2029-la-croissance-est-stable-mais-le-deficit-public-se-creuse\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Jean-Paul Erhard\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/#\/schema\/person\/7976225ff17988604334abb7b3536a7e\"},\"headline\":\"Perspectives \u00e9conomiques 2024-2029: la croissance est stable mais le d\u00e9ficit public se creuse.\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-02-16T06:28:28+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-02-16T06:28:28+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/perspectives-economiques-2024-2029-la-croissance-est-stable-mais-le-deficit-public-se-creuse\/\"},\"wordCount\":538,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"croissance \u00e9conomique\",\"d\u00e9ficit public\",\"emplois\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Actualit\u00e9s\",\"Digital\"],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/perspectives-economiques-2024-2029-la-croissance-est-stable-mais-le-deficit-public-se-creuse\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/perspectives-economiques-2024-2029-la-croissance-est-stable-mais-le-deficit-public-se-creuse\/\",\"name\":\"Perspectives \u00e9conomiques 2024-2029: la croissance est stable mais le d\u00e9ficit public se creuse. - 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