{"id":16473,"date":"2024-07-18T16:39:28","date_gmt":"2024-07-18T14:39:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/?p=16473"},"modified":"2024-07-18T16:39:56","modified_gmt":"2024-07-18T14:39:56","slug":"perspectives-regionales-la-flandre-reste-la-championne-de-la-croissance","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/perspectives-regionales-la-flandre-reste-la-championne-de-la-croissance\/","title":{"rendered":"Perspectives r\u00e9gionales: la Flandre reste la championne de la croissance."},"content":{"rendered":"

Le Bureau f\u00e9d\u00e9ral du Plan, l\u2019Institut Bruxellois de Statistique et d\u2019Analyse (IBSA), Statistiek Vlaanderen et l\u2019Institut wallon de l\u2019\u00e9valuation, de la prospective et de la statistique (IWEPS) publient, ce 18 juillet 2024, des perspectives \u00e9conomiques pour les trois r\u00e9gions.<\/p>\n

La croissance \u00e9conomique se stabilise et demeure plus \u00e9lev\u00e9e en Flandre<\/em><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Comme en 2023, la croissance \u00e9conomique belge atteindrait 1,4% en 2024, principalement port\u00e9e par la consommation priv\u00e9e et les investissements des entreprises, tandis que les exportations sont en net recul. Dans ce contexte, la croissance du PIB bruxellois rebondirait, passant de 0,7% en 2023 \u00e0 1,4% en 2024. La croissance du PIB flamand fl\u00e9chirait l\u00e9g\u00e8rement de 1,6% \u00e0 1,4%, tandis que celle du PIB wallon resterait stable \u00e0 1,3%.<\/p>\n

Au cours de la p\u00e9riode 2025-2029, l’\u00e9conomie belge continuerait de cro\u00eetre \u00e0 un rythme de 1,3% \u00e0 1,4% par an. La consommation des particuliers demeure le moteur principal tandis que le rythme de progression des investissements des entreprises devrait quelque peu ralentir et les exportations tireraient parti de la reprise du commerce ext\u00e9rieur. La croissance des PIB r\u00e9gionaux resterait stable \u00e9galement : en Flandre, le PIB augmenterait de 1,5 % par an en moyenne entre 2025 et 2029, un rythme qui reste plus \u00e9lev\u00e9 qu\u2019en Wallonie (1,3%) et \u00e0 Bruxelles (1,0%). Le surcro\u00eet de croissance flamand s\u2019expliquerait en grande partie par une contribution plus importante des services marchands.<\/p>\n

Le ralentissement de la croissance de l\u2019emploi \u00e0 court terme n\u2019emp\u00eache pas la poursuite de la hausse des taux d\u2019emploi r\u00e9gionaux<\/em><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Durant les ann\u00e9es 2023-2024, la croissance de l’emploi int\u00e9rieur des trois r\u00e9gions s’affaiblit en comparaison du pass\u00e9 r\u00e9cent. La croissance de l\u2019emploi se redresserait en 2025 et, \u00e0 partir de 2026, elle devrait se stabiliser dans les trois r\u00e9gions et rester la plus \u00e9lev\u00e9e en Flandre (1,0% par an en moyenne sur 2026-2029 contre 0,7% en Wallonie et 0,4% \u00e0 Bruxelles). En parall\u00e8le, l\u2019\u00e9volution toujours tr\u00e8s dynamique des navettes bruxelloises sortantes (surtout vers la Flandre) b\u00e9n\u00e9ficierait largement \u00e0 l\u2019emploi des r\u00e9sidents bruxellois. La population bruxelloise en emploi devrait d\u00e8s lors continuer de cro\u00eetre plus fortement que celle de Flandre et de Wallonie durant la p\u00e9riode 2026-2029 (respectivement, +1,1% par an, contre +0,8% et +0,7%).<\/p>\n

La croissance de la population d\u2019\u00e2ge actif devrait ralentir dans les trois r\u00e9gions. Par cons\u00e9quent, les taux d’emploi continueraient d’augmenter de mani\u00e8re substantielle, passant de 76,8% en 2023 \u00e0 78,7% en 2029 en Flandre, de 66,5% \u00e0 68,8% \u00e0 Bruxelles et de 65,5% \u00e0 67,7% en Wallonie (selon la d\u00e9finition UE 2020 portant sur les personnes de 20 \u00e0 64 ans).<\/p>\n

La croissance du pouvoir d\u2019achat se normalise \u00e0 la suite du recul de l\u2019inflation<\/em><\/strong><\/h3>\n

En 2023, l\u2019indexation des salaires et des allocations sociales a largement d\u00e9pass\u00e9 l\u2019inflation, ce qui a soutenu le pouvoir d\u2019achat des m\u00e9nages (d\u00e9fini comme le revenu disponible r\u00e9el par habitant) dans les trois r\u00e9gions (+3,1% \u00e0 Bruxelles, +2,9% en Flandre et +2,4% en Wallonie). Cette ann\u00e9e et l\u2019ann\u00e9e prochaine, la croissance du pouvoir d\u2019achat serait plus mod\u00e9r\u00e9e (+1,4% par an en moyenne en Flandre, +1,6% en Wallonie et +1,8% \u00e0 Bruxelles).<\/p>\n

Au cours de la p\u00e9riode 2026-2029, l\u2019inflation devrait se normaliser et les diff\u00e9rentes composantes du revenu disponible conserveraient leurs sp\u00e9cificit\u00e9s r\u00e9gionales. L\u2019augmentation des revenus bruxellois est soutenue par la dynamique de l\u2019emploi des r\u00e9sidents de la r\u00e9gion. En Flandre et en Wallonie, la hausse des revenus est davantage aliment\u00e9e par les pensions, en raison du vieillissement plus prononc\u00e9 de la population. Au total, le pouvoir d\u2019achat des m\u00e9nages augmenterait pratiquement au m\u00eame rythme en Flandre (+1,0% par an en moyenne sur la p\u00e9riode 2026-2029) et en Wallonie (+1,1%) et un peu plus rapidement \u00e0 Bruxelles (+1,4%).<\/p>\n

Les perspectives r\u00e9gionales consistent en une d\u00e9sagr\u00e9gation des \u00ab\u00a0Perspectives \u00e9conomiques 2024-2029\u00a0\u00bb pour l\u2019\u00e9conomie belge publi\u00e9es en juin 2024 par le Bureau f\u00e9d\u00e9ral du Plan. Elles reprennent \u00e9galement des projections r\u00e9gionales relatives aux salaires, aux investissements, aux \u00e9missions de gaz \u00e0 effet de serre et aux finances publiques. Comme \u00e0 l\u2019accoutum\u00e9e, ces perspectives sont \u00e9labor\u00e9es \u00e0 politique inchang\u00e9e. Elles incorporent l\u2019essentiel de l\u2019information concernant les recettes et les d\u00e9penses des administrations publiques disponible au 6 juin.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Source: Bureau F\u00e9d\u00e9ral du Plan – Perspectives \u00e9conomiques r\u00e9gionales 2024-2029<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Le Bureau f\u00e9d\u00e9ral du Plan, l\u2019Institut Bruxellois de Statistique et d\u2019Analyse (IBSA), Statistiek Vlaanderen et l\u2019Institut wallon de l\u2019\u00e9valuation, de la prospective et de la statistique (IWEPS) publient, ce 18 juillet 2024, des perspectives \u00e9conomiques pour les trois r\u00e9gions.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[65,10],"tags":[1707,148,394],"yoast_head":"\nPerspectives r\u00e9gionales: la Flandre reste la championne de la croissance. - Peoplesphere<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/perspectives-regionales-la-flandre-reste-la-championne-de-la-croissance\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Perspectives r\u00e9gionales: la Flandre reste la championne de la croissance. - 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