{"id":16696,"date":"2024-09-11T12:16:38","date_gmt":"2024-09-11T10:16:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/?p=16696"},"modified":"2024-09-12T03:17:09","modified_gmt":"2024-09-12T01:17:09","slug":"previsions-economiques-2024-2025-malgre-la-croissance-les-creations-demploi-resteront-limitees","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/previsions-economiques-2024-2025-malgre-la-croissance-les-creations-demploi-resteront-limitees\/","title":{"rendered":"Pr\u00e9visions \u00e9conomiques 2024-2025: malgr\u00e9 la croissance, les cr\u00e9ations d&#8217;emploi resteront limit\u00e9es."},"content":{"rendered":"<p>L\u2019\u00e9conomie belge devrait croitre de 1,1% en 2024 et de 1,3% en 2025. Les cr\u00e9ations d\u2019emplois s\u2019\u00e9l\u00e8veraient \u00e0 16.000 en 2024 et \u00e0 25.000 l\u2019ann\u00e9e prochaine. Le taux d\u2019emploi progresserait \u00e0 peine. L&rsquo;inflation devrait encore atteindre 3,2% cette ann\u00e9e et ne repasserait sous la barre des 2% qu\u2019en 2025. <!--more--><\/p>\n<h3><strong><em>Une reprise modeste de l\u2019\u00e9conomie europ\u00e9enne\u2026<\/em><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>Dans la zone euro, la croissance \u00e9conomique n\u2019a pas d\u00e9pass\u00e9 les 0,4% l&rsquo;ann\u00e9e derni\u00e8re, en raison de l\u2019inflation \u00e9lev\u00e9e et d&rsquo;un climat d&rsquo;investissement d\u00e9favorable. La croissance du PIB rebondirait l\u00e9g\u00e8rement pour atteindre 0,8% en 2024. Elle continuerait de s&rsquo;acc\u00e9l\u00e9rer pour atteindre 1,3% en 2025, sous l&rsquo;impulsion de la consommation des m\u00e9nages (soutenue par l\u2019augmentation des salaires et de l&#8217;emploi) et des exportations. Les investissements enregistreraient une timide reprise.<\/p>\n<h3><strong><em>\u2026qui profite \u00e9galement \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9conomie belge<\/em><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>Tout comme lors des trois trimestres pr\u00e9c\u00e9dents, l\u2019\u00e9conomie belge a progress\u00e9 de 0,3% au premier trimestre de 2024 mais a quelque peu ralenti pour atteindre 0,2% au deuxi\u00e8me trimestre. Parall\u00e8lement \u00e0 l\u2019am\u00e9lioration de la conjoncture internationale, la croissance \u00e9conomique belge s\u2019acc\u00e9l\u00e9rerait pour atteindre 0,3% \u00e0 partir du troisi\u00e8me trimestre de 2024 et 0,4% \u00e0 partir du deuxi\u00e8me trimestre de 2025. Sur base annuelle, la croissance du PIB ralentit ainsi de 1,4% en 2023 \u00e0 1,1% en 2024 et remonte \u00e0 1,3% en 2025.<\/p>\n<h3><strong><em>Une reprise g\u00e9n\u00e9ralis\u00e9e<\/em><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>Le rebond amorc\u00e9 au second semestre de cette ann\u00e9e est port\u00e9 par toutes les composantes de la demande. Les exportations diminuent cette ann\u00e9e encore de 1,9% mais augmenteraient de 1,9% en 2025. La croissance de la consommation des m\u00e9nages remonterait \u00e0 1,6% en 2025 (apr\u00e8s 1,1% en 2024), tandis que le total des investissements des m\u00e9nages, des entreprises et de l\u2019Etat augmenterait de 2,5% (apr\u00e8s 1,6% en 2024).<\/p>\n<h3><strong><em>Des cr\u00e9ations d&#8217;emplois qui restent limit\u00e9es<\/em><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>La croissance de l&#8217;emploi du secteur priv\u00e9 a syst\u00e9matiquement diminu\u00e9 au cours de l&rsquo;ann\u00e9e 2023 et au premier semestre de 2024 et serait \u00e0 l\u2019arr\u00eat au second semestre de cette ann\u00e9e. Cet affaiblissement s\u2019est initialement manifest\u00e9 par une forte baisse de l&#8217;emploi int\u00e9rimaire mais, par la suite, le nombre d\u2019emplois salari\u00e9s dans l&rsquo;industrie manufacturi\u00e8re, la construction et le commerce de d\u00e9tail a aussi diminu\u00e9. Dans le courant de l&rsquo;ann\u00e9e 2025, les cr\u00e9ations d\u2019emplois devraient progressivement reprendre. L\u2019augmentation de l&#8217;emploi int\u00e9rieur total ne d\u00e9passerait d\u00e8s lors pas 16 000 personnes en 2024 et 25 000 personnes en 2025. Le taux d\u2019emploi (20-64 ans) progresse \u00e0 peine, passant de 72,1% en 2023 et 2024 \u00e0 72,2% en 2025.<\/p>\n<h3><strong><em>L\u2019inflation ne devrait repasser sous les 2% qu\u2019en 2025<\/em><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>L\u2019impact \u00e0 la baisse des prix du gaz et de l\u2019\u00e9lectricit\u00e9 ayant disparu, l\u2019inflation est actuellement plus \u00e9lev\u00e9e qu\u2019\u00e0 la fin de l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2023. Gr\u00e2ce au ralentissement de l&rsquo;inflation sous-jacente, qui ne prend pas en compte l&rsquo;\u00e9volution des prix de certaines composantes volatiles telles que l&rsquo;\u00e9nergie et les produits alimentaires frais, et \u00e0 la r\u00e9cente baisse des prix du p\u00e9trole, l&rsquo;inflation devrait continuer \u00e0 diminuer sur base annuelle, passant de 3,2% en 2024 \u00e0 1,9% en 2025.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>Source et NB: Bureau F\u00e9d\u00e9ral du Plan &#8211; Ces perspectives sont r\u00e9alis\u00e9es \u00e0 politique constante et n&rsquo;anticipent donc pas sur des mesures non encore d\u00e9cid\u00e9es.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>L\u2019\u00e9conomie belge devrait croitre de 1,1% en 2024 et de 1,3% en 2025. Les cr\u00e9ations d\u2019emplois s\u2019\u00e9l\u00e8veraient \u00e0 16.000 en 2024 et \u00e0 25.000 l\u2019ann\u00e9e prochaine. Le taux d\u2019emploi progresserait \u00e0 peine. L&rsquo;inflation devrait encore atteindre 3,2% cette ann\u00e9e et [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[65,10],"tags":[325,152,124],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Pr\u00e9visions \u00e9conomiques 2024-2025: malgr\u00e9 la croissance, les cr\u00e9ations d&#039;emploi resteront limit\u00e9es. - Peoplesphere<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Pr\u00e9visions \u00e9conomiques 2024-2025: malgr\u00e9 la croissance, les cr\u00e9ations d&#039;emploi resteront limit\u00e9es.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/previsions-economiques-2024-2025-malgre-la-croissance-les-creations-demploi-resteront-limitees\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Pr\u00e9visions \u00e9conomiques 2024-2025: malgr\u00e9 la croissance, les cr\u00e9ations d&#039;emploi resteront limit\u00e9es. - 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