{"id":17364,"date":"2025-02-11T11:24:11","date_gmt":"2025-02-11T09:24:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/?p=17364"},"modified":"2025-02-11T11:24:11","modified_gmt":"2025-02-11T09:24:11","slug":"perspectives-demographiques-en-belgique-la-population-agee-croit-plus-rapidement-que-la-population-dage-actif","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/perspectives-demographiques-en-belgique-la-population-agee-croit-plus-rapidement-que-la-population-dage-actif\/","title":{"rendered":"Perspectives d\u00e9mographiques en Belgique : la population \u00e2g\u00e9e cro\u00eet plus rapidement que la population d\u2019\u00e2ge actif."},"content":{"rendered":"<p>En Belgique, la population d\u2019\u00e2ge actif reste relativement stable \u00e0 l\u2019horizon 2070 tandis que le nombre de personnes \u00e2g\u00e9es augmente sensiblement. La population totale atteint 12,9 millions d\u2019habitants en 2070. Le solde migratoire international reste le moteur de notre croissance d\u00e9mographique. De plus, l\u2019\u00e9cart d\u2019esp\u00e9rance de vie entre les hommes et les femmes continue de diminuer. C\u2019est ce qu\u2019il ressort entre autres des perspectives d\u00e9mographiques 2024-2070 r\u00e9alis\u00e9es par le Bureau f\u00e9d\u00e9ral du Plan (BFP) en collaboration avec Statbel.<!--more--><\/p>\n<p>Au cours des prochaines ann\u00e9es, la population de la Belgique augmente de 30 000 personnes en moyenne par an pour atteindre 12,9 millions d&rsquo;habitants en 2070, contre 11,7 millions en 2024. Le BFP s\u2019attend \u00e0 ce que la population atteigne 8,0 millions d\u2019habitants en Flandre en 2070 (contre 6,8 millions en 2024), alors que les populations de Wallonie et de Bruxelles demeurent quasiment stables avec respectivement 3,7 millions et 1,2 million d\u2019habitants.<br \/>\nLa migration reste le moteur de la croissance d\u00e9mographique en Belgique<\/p>\n<p>Le BFP table sur une stabilisation de la migration au cours des ann\u00e9es \u00e0 venir : d\u2019ici \u00e0 2070, le solde migratoire international (immigrations moins \u00e9migrations) reste relativement stable aux alentours de 30 000 personnes par an, soit un niveau inf\u00e9rieur \u00e0 celui des ann\u00e9es r\u00e9centes. Il demeure le principal moteur de la croissance d\u00e9mographique, voire le seul moteur \u00e0 partir de la fin des ann\u00e9es 2030 puisque le solde naturel (naissances moins d\u00e9c\u00e8s) devient n\u00e9gatif \u00e0 partir de 2038.<\/p>\n<h3><strong><em>La f\u00e9condit\u00e9 demeure faible et l\u2019\u00e9cart d\u2019esp\u00e9rance de vie entre les hommes et les femmes diminue<\/em><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>Alors que les femmes avaient en moyenne 1,9 enfant \u00e0 la fin des ann\u00e9es 2000 et 1,5 en 2024, ces perspectives supposent que la f\u00e9condit\u00e9 demeure faible mais remonte progressivement \u00e0 1,6 enfant par femme \u00e0 partir de 2035. Quant \u00e0 l&rsquo;esp\u00e9rance de vie \u00e0 la naissance, elle s\u2019\u00e9l\u00e8ve \u00e0 88,9 ans en 2070 pour l\u2019ensemble de la population, soit 89,8 ans pour les femmes et 88,1 ans pour les hommes. L\u2019\u00e9cart d\u2019esp\u00e9rance de vie entre les hommes et les femmes diminue ainsi fortement : si en 2023 cet \u00e9cart \u00e9tait de 4,1 ans, celui-ci ne serait plus que de 1,7 an en 2070.<\/p>\n<h3><strong><em>Le vieillissement s\u2019acc\u00e9l\u00e8re, en particulier au cours des dix prochaines ann\u00e9es<\/em><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>La population belge vieillit, et de plus en plus rapidement les prochaines ann\u00e9es: cela se traduit par une forte augmentation du coefficient de d\u00e9pendance qui exprime la proportion de personnes \u00e2g\u00e9es de 67 ans et plus par rapport \u00e0 la population d\u2019\u00e2ge actif (entre 18 et 66 ans). Si en 2024, il y avait 28 personnes de 67 ans et plus pour 100 personnes de 18 \u00e0 66 ans, ce nombre passe \u00e0 37 en 2040 et \u00e0 43 en 2070.<\/p>\n<p>Ces perspectives ont \u00e9t\u00e9 cl\u00f4tur\u00e9es avant l\u2019aboutissement des n\u00e9gociations pour la formation du nouveau gouvernement f\u00e9d\u00e9ral et ne prennent par cons\u00e9quent pas en compte les possibles effets des mesures mentionn\u00e9es dans l\u2019accord de gouvernement.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>Source: Bureau F\u00e9d\u00e9ral du Plan<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>En Belgique, la population d\u2019\u00e2ge actif reste relativement stable \u00e0 l\u2019horizon 2070 tandis que le nombre de personnes \u00e2g\u00e9es augmente sensiblement. La population totale atteint 12,9 millions d\u2019habitants en 2070. Le solde migratoire international reste le moteur de notre croissance [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":17365,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[65,10],"tags":[4240,688,58,53],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Perspectives d\u00e9mographiques en Belgique : la population \u00e2g\u00e9e cro\u00eet plus rapidement que la population d\u2019\u00e2ge actif. - Peoplesphere<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/perspectives-demographiques-en-belgique-la-population-agee-croit-plus-rapidement-que-la-population-dage-actif\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Perspectives d\u00e9mographiques en Belgique : la population \u00e2g\u00e9e cro\u00eet plus rapidement que la population d\u2019\u00e2ge actif. - Peoplesphere\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"En Belgique, la population d\u2019\u00e2ge actif reste relativement stable \u00e0 l\u2019horizon 2070 tandis que le nombre de personnes \u00e2g\u00e9es augmente sensiblement. La population totale atteint 12,9 millions d\u2019habitants en 2070. Le solde migratoire international reste le moteur de notre croissance [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/perspectives-demographiques-en-belgique-la-population-agee-croit-plus-rapidement-que-la-population-dage-actif\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Peoplesphere\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/peoplesphere\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-02-11T09:24:11+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/20250211oldhealthy.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"612\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"408\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Jean-Paul Erhard\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@PeoplesphereMag\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@PeoplesphereMag\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Jean-Paul Erhard\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/perspectives-demographiques-en-belgique-la-population-agee-croit-plus-rapidement-que-la-population-dage-actif\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/perspectives-demographiques-en-belgique-la-population-agee-croit-plus-rapidement-que-la-population-dage-actif\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Jean-Paul Erhard\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/#\/schema\/person\/7976225ff17988604334abb7b3536a7e\"},\"headline\":\"Perspectives d\u00e9mographiques en Belgique : la population \u00e2g\u00e9e cro\u00eet plus rapidement que la population d\u2019\u00e2ge actif.\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-02-11T09:24:11+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-02-11T09:24:11+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/perspectives-demographiques-en-belgique-la-population-agee-croit-plus-rapidement-que-la-population-dage-actif\/\"},\"wordCount\":508,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"population active\",\"retraite\",\"s\u00e9curit\u00e9 sociale\",\"Vieillissement\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Actualit\u00e9s\",\"Digital\"],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/perspectives-demographiques-en-belgique-la-population-agee-croit-plus-rapidement-que-la-population-dage-actif\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/perspectives-demographiques-en-belgique-la-population-agee-croit-plus-rapidement-que-la-population-dage-actif\/\",\"name\":\"Perspectives d\u00e9mographiques en Belgique : la population \u00e2g\u00e9e cro\u00eet plus rapidement que la population d\u2019\u00e2ge actif. - 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