









{"id":7841,"date":"2019-05-24T10:09:10","date_gmt":"2019-05-24T08:09:10","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.peoplesphere.be\/fr\/?p=7841"},"modified":"2019-05-24T10:09:10","modified_gmt":"2019-05-24T08:09:10","slug":"previsions-pessimistes-de-retour-nombre-de-faillites-augmenter-de-2-2019","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/previsions-pessimistes-de-retour-nombre-de-faillites-augmenter-de-2-2019\/","title":{"rendered":"Les pr\u00e9visions pessimistes sont de retour: le nombre de faillites devrait augmenter de 2% en 2019."},"content":{"rendered":"<p>L\u2019assureur-cr\u00e9dit Atradius pr\u00e9voit que le nombre de faillites belges conna\u00eetra une augmentation de 2 % en 2019. 2019 est la premi\u00e8re ann\u00e9e, depuis la crise \u00e9conomique et financi\u00e8re, o\u00f9 le nombre de faillites est en progression au niveau mondial. Cette nouvelle tendance serait imputable \u00e0 une croissance \u00e9conomique en berne, qui fait surtout des ravages en Europe occidentale. <em>\u00ab\u00a0A la veille des \u00e9lections belges et europ\u00e9ennes, ce constat est un signal fort : notre \u00e9conomie a besoin d\u2019un nouvel \u00e9lan\u00a0\u00bb<\/em>, d\u00e9clare Christophe Cherry, Managing Director BeLux d\u2019Atradius.<!--more--><\/p>\n<p>Atradius pr\u00e9voit une augmentation des faillites en Belgique de 2 % cette ann\u00e9e, soit un tiers de plus qu\u2019en 2007, juste avant le d\u00e9but de la crise \u00e9conomique et financi\u00e8re. C\u2019est le constat dress\u00e9 par l\u2019assureur-cr\u00e9dit dans son tout dernier Economic Outlook. La note obtenue par la Belgique est largement inf\u00e9rieure \u00e0 celles des Pays-Bas et de l\u2019Allemagne, par exemple, o\u00f9 le nombre faillites est aujourd\u2019hui pr\u00e8s de deux fois moins \u00e9lev\u00e9 qu\u2019en 2007.<\/p>\n<p>En d\u00e9pit des \u00e9carts entre les pays, Atradius constate que le nombre de faillites au niveau mondial subira une augmentation, et ce pour la premi\u00e8re fois depuis la crise \u00e9conomique. A l\u2019ext\u00e9rieur des fronti\u00e8res belges, Atradius s\u2019attend \u00e9galement, dans les prochains mois, \u00e0 une augmentation du nombre de faillites au Royaume-Uni (7%), en Italie (6%), en France (3%) et aux Pays-Bas (3%). Selon l\u2019assureur-cr\u00e9dit, les causes de cette augmentation sont imputables \u00e0 l\u2019incertitude croissante r\u00e9gnant autour de l\u2019\u00e9conomie mondiale.<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Escalade des guerres commerciales<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>En Belgique \u00e9galement, la croissance \u00e9conomique retombe cette ann\u00e9e \u00e0 1,3 %. Fin 2018, Atradius tablait encore sur une \u00e9conomie belge en croissance de 1,5 % en 2019, un chiffre qu\u2019il a fallu revoir \u00e0 la baisse depuis lors. Dans le reste de la zone euro \u00e9galement, la croissance moyenne retombe \u00e0 1,3 %, et s\u2019\u00e9tablit donc \u00e0 un niveau plus faible que pr\u00e9vu. Cette croissance en berne est, selon Atradius, \u00e0 l\u2019origine de ce nouveau pic du nombre de faillites.<\/p>\n<p><em>\u00ab\u00a0La ralentissement de la croissance \u00e9conomique et l\u2019augmentation du nombre de faillites montrent clairement que notre \u00e9conomie se trouve \u00e0 un point de basculement\u00a0\u00bb,<\/em> d\u00e9clare Christophe Cherry, Managing Director pour la Belgique et le Luxembourg chez Atradius. <em>\u00ab\u00a0Nous observons \u00e9galement que les facteurs explicatifs, comme le Brexit, sont situ\u00e9s \u00e0 l\u2019ext\u00e9rieur de la Belgique. Certains partenaires commerciaux importants comme le Royaume-Uni ou l\u2019Italie ont en ligne de mire une augmentation du nombre de leurs faillites dans les prochains mois. Et les entreprises belges risquent d\u2019en faire les frais\u00a0\u00bb.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Impact lourd en cas de Brexit (dur)<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p>Des \u00e9tudes ant\u00e9rieures d\u2019Atradius avaient d\u00e9j\u00e0 montr\u00e9 qu\u2019en Belgique, ce sont principalement les secteurs du transport et du textile qui sont sous pression en raison du Brexit et du risque cr\u00e9\u00e9 par un d\u00e9part du Royaume-Uni en l\u2019absence d\u2019accord. Un Brexit aussi dur co\u00fbterait annuellement \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9conomie belge 1,3 milliards d\u2019euros et se traduirait par une augmentation du nombre de faillites de 1,5 % \u2013 soit 165 faillites suppl\u00e9mentaires en base annuelle. Cette incertitude a \u00e9galement des r\u00e9percussions sur la croissance \u00e9conomique globale, comme le montrent les derniers rapports d\u2019Atradius.<\/p>\n<p><em>\u00ab Nous constatons que l\u2019incertitude et le doute donnent le ton sur les march\u00e9s, et que la croissance \u00e9conomique continue, lentement mais s\u00fbrement, de ralentir \u00bb,<\/em> conclut Christophe Cherry d\u2019Atradius. <em>\u00ab Il ne faut donc pas s\u2019\u00e9tonner que cela se traduise maintenant par une nouvelle augmentation du nombre de faillites. Si cette tendance devait perdurer, il ne serait pas impensable que nous prenions de nouveau le chemin d\u2019une r\u00e9cession, avec toutes les cons\u00e9quences que suppose un tel sc\u00e9nario pour les entrepreneurs belges. A la veille des \u00e9lections belges et europ\u00e9ennes, ce constat est un signal fort : notre \u00e9conomie a besoin d\u2019un nouvel \u00e9lan \u00bb.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Source: Economic Outlook Atradius<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>L\u2019assureur-cr\u00e9dit Atradius pr\u00e9voit que le nombre de faillites belges conna\u00eetra une augmentation de 2 % en 2019. 2019 est la premi\u00e8re ann\u00e9e, depuis la crise \u00e9conomique et financi\u00e8re, o\u00f9 le nombre de faillites est en progression au niveau mondial. Cette [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[65,10],"tags":[2562,1521,2561,2560],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Les pr\u00e9visions pessimistes sont de retour: le nombre de faillites devrait augmenter de 2% en 2019. - Peoplesphere<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/previsions-pessimistes-de-retour-nombre-de-faillites-augmenter-de-2-2019\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Les pr\u00e9visions pessimistes sont de retour: le nombre de faillites devrait augmenter de 2% en 2019. - Peoplesphere\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"L\u2019assureur-cr\u00e9dit Atradius pr\u00e9voit que le nombre de faillites belges conna\u00eetra une augmentation de 2 % en 2019. 2019 est la premi\u00e8re ann\u00e9e, depuis la crise \u00e9conomique et financi\u00e8re, o\u00f9 le nombre de faillites est en progression au niveau mondial. Cette [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/previsions-pessimistes-de-retour-nombre-de-faillites-augmenter-de-2-2019\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Peoplesphere\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/peoplesphere\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2019-05-24T08:09:10+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"http:\/\/www.peoplesphere.be\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/07\/facebook-default-posting-1200x628px.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Jean-Paul Erhard\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@PeoplesphereMag\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@PeoplesphereMag\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Jean-Paul Erhard\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/previsions-pessimistes-de-retour-nombre-de-faillites-augmenter-de-2-2019\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/previsions-pessimistes-de-retour-nombre-de-faillites-augmenter-de-2-2019\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Jean-Paul Erhard\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/#\/schema\/person\/7976225ff17988604334abb7b3536a7e\"},\"headline\":\"Les pr\u00e9visions pessimistes sont de retour: le nombre de faillites devrait augmenter de 2% en 2019.\",\"datePublished\":\"2019-05-24T08:09:10+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2019-05-24T08:09:10+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/previsions-pessimistes-de-retour-nombre-de-faillites-augmenter-de-2-2019\/\"},\"wordCount\":662,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"Atradius\",\"brexit\",\"faillites\",\"ralentissement \u00e9conomique\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Actualit\u00e9s\",\"Digital\"],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/previsions-pessimistes-de-retour-nombre-de-faillites-augmenter-de-2-2019\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/peoplesphere.be\/fr\/previsions-pessimistes-de-retour-nombre-de-faillites-augmenter-de-2-2019\/\",\"name\":\"Les pr\u00e9visions pessimistes sont de retour: le nombre de faillites devrait augmenter de 2% en 2019. - 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